Why Should I Care?

This time of year gets particularly busy for me with the start of the North Atlantic hurricane season (as you can probably tell by the lack of recent posts).  However, that delay is your good fortune as all the latest predictions for this year’s hurricane season have come in, and if the majority our correct [...]

As I undertake final preparation on a presentation related to seasonal forecasting for next week’s American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, it seemed like a good time to look back at last year’s seasonal forecast for the North Atlantic Hurricane Season.  In previous posts (1st, second), we looked at what various forecasting groups were saying the [...]

Since our last post about seasonal prediction of tropical cyclones, one of the organizations (the UK Meteorology Office) mentioned in that post has come out with their official forecast.  The UK Meteorology Office, or simply Met Office, has made a prediction that is substantially different than the other forecasts to date.  Traditionally the Met Office [...]

This time a year, those involved with forecasting tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean tend to get busy.  On June 1st we kicked off the official start of the 2009 hurricane season for the Atlantic, and while we have not had any name storms yet there was already a close call (Tropical Depression [...]